If Nigeria Does Not Produce A President From The Southeast In 2023, What Will Happen?- By Emmanuel-Francis Nwaolisa Ogomegbunam
I normally do not answer questions with obvious answers. But I also like being right, and silence can encourage the wrong ideas, so here goes.
A southeasterner will not be president in 2023. That is as certain as the sun coming up tomorrow.
Nothing will change. Everything that wants to happen is already happening. If it makes you sad or happy, get used to it.
More seriously, consider this:
The red lines show that at no point in Nigeria’s democratic history has a southeasterner been stopped from running for the presidency.
The main thing to realise is that no southeasterner has grossed more than 1.3m votes. There are more Igbos in Surulere than that. Why should the rest of the federation bother when no southeasterner is trusted for national office by those who know them best?
Those claiming ‘we’ won’t stand for that should name their candidate.
Obsession with the presidency is a bad habit I think Nigerians should shake. It won’t happen, but let the records show that at least one person said stop!
Becoming president is difficult because of our politics. The process requires ‘mobilising’ the guaranteed voters. That requires resources and nobody has more than the president and governors. As a region in opposition, the process is already difficult because of the absence of ‘federal might’. No southeastern politician is close to the president, so that means close to zero odds of any southeasterner winning the ticket in APC.
There are similar odds in PDP. Governor Wike and the South-South governors are the party’s chief financiers. Giving the ticket to a southeasterner is a losing proposition. There is no nationally popular southeastern politician. We also cast fewer votes than our population suggests. The opposition will do what’s best to get them back to Abuja. Those who don’t like it will discover that the army does not exist to fulfil Nigeria’s manifest destiny to overspread the continent😉.
Look, logically, 2023 is a write-off for both major parties. The rest aren’t serious people. More political partiers than parties. A southwesterner or southsoutherner is the surest bet for president. Except Alhaji Atiku pulls something magical. Either way, the next time the post will conceivably be in play will be 2039.
Make your peace with that.
Be like me. I don’t let factors outside my control bother me. Not like it’s my mother running. All the candidates will rearrange the furniture, make their fortunes and move their kids abroad.
